Android Will Bypass iPhone By 2012, Says Gartner.

Posted by Gil Bouhnick on Oct 08, 2009

closeThis post was published 4 years 10 months 20 days ago which may make its actuality or expire date not be valid anymore. This site is not responsible for any misunderstanding.

gartner136

From the very beginning we knew Google’s Android is going to be something big. Google, open source, cloud, a long list of devices manufacturers supporting this effort – it cannot go wrong.

The first version did not make us too excited (but made others too excited…) but the “cupcake” version (1.5) was much better, and then came a few really good handsets as well.

Androids

Gartner Inc. predicts that the Android will make the highest jump in the next 2 years, surging from 2% market-share today to 14% of the global smartphone market in 2012.

Gartner forecasts that Android will actually rank second globally, behind the Symbian OS, (which by the way will continue to fall from more than 50% to 39%) in 2012.

The reasons, according to Gartner, are Google’s great support for this OS, the range of cloud computing functions, the fact that it’s an open source, and of course the manufacturers behind the OS which according to Gartner are expected to release around 40 Android models in 2010, many of them with the new OS version (code-named Donut).

Android_Tripod
The Triandroids are coming! (We said it long time ago!)

Another interesting point (which I tend to agree with) is that while iPhone is clearly focused on applications, games, entertainment, and Windows Mobile, BlackBerry, and Symbian are focused on productivity and tasks, the Android has a nice mixture which somehow manages to grab both areas.

The complete Gartner forecast for smartphones in 2012:

- Symbian: 203 million devices sold (39% of the market)
- Android: 76 million units sold (14.5% of the market)
- iPhone: 71.5 million devices in 2012 (13.7% market share)
- Windows Mobile: 66.8 million units sold (12.8% of the market)
- BlackBerry OS: 65.25 million devices (12.5% market share)
- Various Linux devices: 28 million units (5.4% market share)
- Palm’s new webOS: 11 million units (2.1% of the market)

Surprisingly, BlackBerry seems to move down from second place to fifth, while Android will take over the second place by storm (hmm… wrong term… Storm).

Gartner have made their bets (and I’m in), what are yours? 

Gil Bouhnick (70 Posts) - Website | Twitter | Facebook


Gil Bouhnick is a guest writer at MobilitySite and the owner of The Mobile Spoon. He is a Director of Mobile Solutions at ClickSoftware, running ClickSoftware's MobileFever, and constantly trying to examine new mobile trends and technologies.

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  • http://twitter.com/mobilitysite/status/4705390609 mobilitysite

    Android Will Bypass iPhone By 2012, Says Gartner. http://bit.ly/11yEmh

  • http://twitter.com/preetchandhoke/status/4705517051 Preet Chandhoke

    Android Will Bypass iPhone By 2012, Says Gartner – http://bit.ly/sYdzy

  • http://twitter.com/androidzealot/status/4706387766 adroid zealot

    Android Will Bypass iPhone By 2012, Says Gartner. | Mobility Site http://bit.ly/46×9AM

  • http://twitter.com/roodee/status/4708263664 Rudy Herman Sinen

    http://tinyurl.com/yec9ujr Android Will Bypass iPhone By 2012, Says Gartner.

  • http://www.svpocketpc.com Pony99CA

    Please ignore posts by quakerkatheryn and flag them. She only posts to spam her blog, which links to a “free” deal site where you have to complete a bunch of offers to get the item “free”.

    Pfeh!

    Steve

  • http://www.svpocketpc.com Pony99CA

    Look at how bunched the major non-Symbian platforms are, though. Only 2% separates Android from BlackBerry, with the iPhone and Windows Mobile in between. That doesn't sound like Windows Mobile is dead, does it?

    The other surprise, besides BlackBerry's position, is Palm's WebOS doing rating so poorly.

    Steve

  • samhobson

    Android has always looked appealing, I will say, however it is still a baby, and I don't think it will pass the iPhone anytime soon.

    I base this statement on a few things. For one, the iPhone is a closed OS, and runs on only one hardware: the iPhone. That would make it very easy to develop apps and provide more variety for it's users. Android, on the other hand, is an open platform, as well as open source, meaning not only will it be running on various hardware, it can also be modded in any way the manufacturer pleases. That means that the availability of apps will vary depending on what phone you have, since any modifications made could break compatibility of certain (if not all) apps.

    The other thing is that the iPhone is very popular. Many people I've seen have the iPhone, almost 90% of people at my school (including staff) own an iPhone. Apple may have the cell phone market in it's pocket, much like it has the mp3 player market (because let's face it, iPod has pretty much become a generic name for an mp3 player).

    This is only my opinion, however, and I could be wrong. I am open for debate.

  • http://www.svpocketpc.com Pony99CA

    Please ignore posts by quakerkatheryn and flag them. She only posts to spam her blog, which links to a “free” deal site where you have to complete a bunch of offers to get the item “free”.

    Pfeh!

    Steve

  • http://www.svpocketpc.com Pony99CA

    Look at how bunched the major non-Symbian platforms are, though. Only 2% separates Android from BlackBerry, with the iPhone and Windows Mobile in between. That doesn't sound like Windows Mobile is dead, does it?

    The other surprise, besides BlackBerry's position, is Palm's WebOS doing rating so poorly.

    Steve

  • http://afrolatinocomputing.blogspot.com Sam Hobson

    Android has always looked appealing, I will say, however it is still a baby, and I don't think it will pass the iPhone anytime soon.

    I base this statement on a few things. For one, the iPhone is a closed OS, and runs on only one hardware: the iPhone. That would make it very easy to develop apps and provide more variety for it's users. Android, on the other hand, is an open platform, as well as open source, meaning not only will it be running on various hardware, it can also be modded in any way the manufacturer pleases. That means that the availability of apps will vary depending on what phone you have, since any modifications made could break compatibility of certain (if not all) apps.

    The other thing is that the iPhone is very popular. Many people I've seen have the iPhone, almost 90% of people at my school (including staff) own an iPhone. Apple may have the cell phone market in it's pocket, much like it has the mp3 player market (because let's face it, iPod has pretty much become a generic name for an mp3 player).

    This is only my opinion, however, and I could be wrong. I am open for debate.

  • http://twitter.com/MobileSpoon MobileSpoon

    I wrote this post few months ago, today I found that Android actually surpassed iPhone sales in Q1, 2010 in the US. Amazing – don't you think?

    http://mobilespoon.blogspot.com/2010/05/android...

  • http://twitter.com/MobileSpoon MobileSpoon

    I wrote this post few months ago, today I found that Android actually surpassed iPhone sales in Q1, 2010 in the US. Amazing – don't you think?

    http://mobilespoon.blogspot.com/2010/05/android...

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