The Last Days of Nokia

Posted by Zealot on Sep 13, 2010

closeThis post was published 4 years 5 days ago which may make its actuality or expire date not be valid anymore. This site is not responsible for any misunderstanding.

nokia_logo1_2006_04_23They had quite a run.To a very real degree the Finnish giant Nokia created the mobile phone market from nothing and for well more than a decade they reigned supreme over it. However the market Nokia created and Nokia has inexplicably refused to for years….until now. And now, the changes that have been unleashed in Nokia are looking more and more like bad choices and pure chaos as the 15th annual Nokia World begins tomorrow with the company with even less to show than last year…and everyone agreed last year’s Nokia World was dire.

Remember the devices that were the big reveals at last year’s Nokia World? The Maemo OS which is already dead and gone, the N900 which is already off the market and will mainly be remembered as the only device to ever natively run Maemo, and the Nokia Booklet, an overpriced netbook which may have been sold to one or two Nokia employees but that’s it.

So what has changed for Nokia over the last year? First and foremost the longtime CEO, Olli-Pekka Kallasvuo was shown the door after Nokia bled away 75 percent of its market cap over the last three years. He was replaced by 43-year-old Stephen Elop from Canada, the first non-Finn to head the company. He was headhunted from Microsoft where he headed the Microsoft Office division. Looking at his resume, I would say his biggest advantage in his new job is that he has long experience working with the Silicon Valley culture that has so confounded Nokia in the past.

However, in addition to the likelihood a Canadian head will fail to win the heart of his Finnish workers (or for that matter, a nation which supports Nokia like it was a football team, or their greatest claim to fame) he is also a logistics guy and a manager…when what Nokia really needs is an inspirational, product-design minded visionary. That is even more true today as the man who has been called the Jonathan Ive of Nokia, the smartphone evangelist with the big plans, Mobile Solutions head Anssi Vanjoki just resigned. It may be that he lost a bid to be CEO, or is casting a no-confidence vote against Elop in advance. It may be that he simply sees that the old order is changing at Nokia and feels he should change with it.

Either way, Nokia has lost its two most important decision makers in just two weeks and they have more or less nothing to display at Nokia World tomorrow. MeeGo, the OS that Nokia has said is the successor to Maemo and will be the key to their smartphone future (y’know, what they said Maemo would be last year) isn’t ready yet. That leaves them with the N8 to generate the smartphone heat for the faithful in London. However, the N8, while a sharp looking touchscreen phone, is running Symbian 3 which is not likely to cause Apple or Google much anxiety. It also isn’t likely to cause much excitement in either the gadget crowd or the mainstream.

Nokia became a powerhouse turning out endless versions of well-designed, powerful feature phones. They have tried to bring the same methodology to smartphones, but they have failed to understand the market. Even their newest flagship smartphone, the N8, is said to be defined by its excellent camera. If the camera is the main talking point you have for your new smartphone, you have a serious problem. How serious? Look at the following graph…

148-Mobile-OS-Chart

As you can see, according to Gartner Apple has been more or less stable, as has been Windows Mobile and to a lessor degree RIM. Nokia? In freefall. In fact, it appears that most of what Nokia is losing, Android is gaining. That is just going to get worse as more mid to low end Android phones are expected to flood the market over the next two quarters, striking deep at the territory Nokia still calls it own, low cost/low margin feature phones. The lack of available profit has been a big part of what has doomed Nokia and now even that looks likely to be taken away.

So…major event in two days. What does Nokia have to show?

  • A new, outsider CEO with the wrong skillset (who is not supposed to actually attend anyway).
  • The sudden resignation of their visionary Mobile Solutions leader with no replacement in sight.
  • A smartphone that would have been competitive two years ago, but now is not likely to make a splash.
  • Continued delays connected with their next-gen OS.
  • A whole bunch of new, low profit feature phones.

Right.

Will the last carrier exec to leave Finland please turn out the light?

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Zealot (839 Posts) - Website | Twitter | Facebook


By day a department manager and writer for a major network device vendor...by night Zealot stalks the mean magnetic streets, striking fear into the hearts of bandwidth abusers and theme park mascots. Zealot has been involved with mobile devices for more than a decade now, starting off with dumb phones, moving to PDAs and then to smartphones, notebooks and netbooks with the odd PMP thrown in. Most of his mobile time currently is spent on a Treo Pro, Zune HD, Thinkpad T61, HP Mini 311, iPod Touch 3G, iPad 16G or a Hackintoshed Compaq Mini 704. He proudly groks the Geek community and considers himself a Neo Maxi Zune Dweebie (thanks Wil Wheaton!).

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  • http://twitter.com/alltop_mobile/status/24371271985 Alltop Mobile

    The Last Days of Nokia http://bit.ly/aV0jT1

  • http://twitter.com/mikecane/status/24404519736 Mike Cane

    The Last Days of Nokia | Mobility Site http://t.co/7Dwt1EQ <- and the national bankruptcy of Finland follows it!

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Pete-Miller/1765078464 Pete Miller

    Yep, it all rings too true. It seems like Nokia have no idea of how to respond to Apple and Android. They certainly don't seem to be putting the necessary resources behind their only real hope MeeGo. And if my recent experience with their support department is anywhere near typical, they are in big trouble with customer loyalty too. They really need to surprise on the upside with MeeGo and start learning from their customers. But I'm afraid it's too late for this long-time Nokia customer. I'll be moving on after the N900 debacle.

  • http://www.1guoji.com Mark

    Can't believe they ditched the N900.. It doesn't make sense from a developer loyalty perspective. How are they going to convince people to actually care about what is coming up, if they hype things up right before abandoning it. If developers adopt a wait and see mentality to Nokia's new smart-phones, they are all going to be released with practically no apps and promptly meet the N900's fate. What too of all the people who bought the N900.. I wasn't one, but I easily could have been. I won't take a risk on future Nokia smart devices until they prove themselves in the market though. Seems like they just shot themselves in the foot with this one.

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