Can't find the link - damn!
However, the fact that you can't get AS running manually suggests that either:
- Your firewall is preventing AS from starting
OR
Notwithstanding the logic of that argument, I have previously come across a different problem that prevented AS starting - lack of memory. It's worth checking to make sure that you have plenty of hdd spare as a lack of space can interfere with the temporary files used to swap information between applications.
Failing that (and assuming that you have tried the other suggestions) I am out of ideas.