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Bit of a hard one, longevity? - Do you mean will you still be able to buy them after a number of years? Though nizesa brings up a good point, do you have any gimmicks/gadgets that take up either the CF or SD slot? If so it is probably best to get the memory for the other slot.
Have a personal preference for CF - its unlikey to be made redundant any time soon, due to it being the primary card most pro's use in digital cameras. Also due to its application, it is most likely to see the higher capacities, and then the subsiquent price reductions for the lower gigabyet capacaties - anyone remember when for the same price for a 2gig card now, that wouldnt get you a 512mb, or if I remember correctly a 32mb!
SD/CF are a generally pretty stable medium - there's no moving parts that will break.
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